South Cyprus Poll: Federation Remains Leading Solution With 39% Support

The survey, which included a wide range of political and institutional questions, also found that trust in political parties remains below 20% across the board.

Cyprus problem preferences

According to the results, 39% of respondents support a bi-zonal, bi-communal federation, while 29% favour a unitary state. A further 12% support maintaining the status quo, 9% favour a two-state solution, and 3% support a confederation model.

Election snapshot

When asked “if elections were held tomorrow,” respondents gave 20.2% to DISY, 18.5% to AKEL, 12.6% to ELAM, 8.9% to ALMA, 7.4% to DIKO, and 5.7% to the Democratic Alliance. Volt is projected at 4.2%, EDEK at 2.3%, Ecologists at 2.1%, DIKO at 1.2%, and other smaller parties below 2%.

Undecided voters stand at 8.1%, while 2.4% said they would abstain.

Trust and leadership ratings

The poll also highlights low levels of institutional trust, with no party exceeding 20% trust. President Nikos Christodoulides received 48% positive and 43% negative views on his performance.

Institutional confidence decline

Data from RIK surveys since 1996 indicate a long-term decline in public trust in institutions, including government, parliament, police, judiciary, and public services, with confidence levels dropping sharply over the past three decades.

NATO and regional security

On potential NATO membership for Cyprus, 52% of respondents supported the idea, while 35% opposed it.

The survey also shows strong public concern over developments in the Middle East, with 78% expressing high or moderate levels of concern.

The overall findings underline both political fragmentation and institutional distrust in the run-up to the May 26 election, while reaffirming federation as the leading preferred solution to the Cyprus issue.