DISY and AKEL Lead in Cypriot Election Poll Amid High Undecided Vote

According to a survey conducted by Noverna Analytics & Research for Politis, based on 1,104 participants interviewed between May 1 and 12, voting patterns vary significantly across districts and age groups, with nearly 24% of respondents still undecided or indicating blank votes.

Regionally, DISY leads in Nicosia and Limassol, while AKEL comes first in Larnaca and the Famagusta district. In Paphos, the Direct Democracy movement is reported to be ahead.

The poll highlights strong generational differences. Among voters aged 18–34, ELAM and DISY perform strongly, while younger voters also show notable support for smaller parties such as Direct Democracy. In contrast, older age groups show greater support for AKEL and DISY, reflecting more traditional voting patterns.

Gender-based results also show variation: men tend to favour AKEL slightly more, while women show a higher share of undecided votes, reaching up to 28% in some segments.

At the district level, DISY maintains narrow leads in urban centres, while AKEL remains competitive in eastern regions. The Famagusta area appears more fragmented, with close competition between AKEL, DISY, ELAM, and smaller parties.

A striking feature of the poll is the size of the undecided electorate, which ranges from 18% to 32% depending on the region, suggesting that the final outcome remains highly uncertain.

The survey also asked voters whether they had recently encountered positive or persuasive messaging from parties. Responses indicate relatively low campaign penetration across the electorate, with many respondents reporting no significant change in their views in the past two weeks.

Finally, the poll measures voter certainty, showing that most supporters of major parties such as AKEL, DISY, and ELAM report high levels of commitment, while smaller parties such as ALMA show more volatility among their supporters.